While China saw the virus originate and has by far the most reported cases, there are at least 47 cases confirmed in 16 other countries, including in Thailand, France, the US and Australia. No deaths have been reported outside China. Parts on China are on severe lockdown in an attempt to control the new Coronavirus outbreak, while British Airways has suspended all flights in and out of mainland China for the time being.
While authorities are still working round the clock to learn more about this new virus, it’s not possible to say exactly when it might end.
However, one expert believes we will see the peak of the crisis within a week to ten days.
Zhong Nanshan, a renowned scientist at China’s National Health Commission and prominent expert in respiratory diseases, told Xinhua News Agency the number of new infections should not increase massively after the peak.
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He said: “I believe it should reach a peak in a week or around ten days.”
He added the outbreak “will not increase at a large scale” after that peak.
Mr Zhong told Xinhua the “fatality rate would certainly continue to fall” even though no cure had been found so far, thanks to life support technology and efforts of researchers and medical workers.
Meanwhile, scientists in Australia have become the first to recreate the new coronavirus outside of China in what they have called a “significant breakthrough”.
The discovery will be shared with the World Health Organization (WHO) in the hope it may help efforts to diagnose and treat the virus.
Scientists in China have also recreated the virus and shared its genome sequence, but not the virus itself.
Researchers at a specialist lab in Melbourne, Australia, said they were able to grow a copy of the virus from an infected patient.
The sample was sent to them last Friday.
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Dr Mike Catton of the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity said: “We’ve planned for an incident like this for many, many years and that’s really why we were able to get an answer so quickly.”
Doctors said the copy could be used as “control material” for testing and “will be a game changer for diagnosis”.
That could involve an early-diagnosis test which could detect the virus in people who have not displayed symptoms.
Chinese authorities have said the virus – like a normal flu – is able to spread during its incubation period.
But the WHO has said it remains unclear whether it is contagious before symptoms appear.
In the latest WHO report on the Novel Coronavirus(2019-nCoV), it said it would launch a platform to allow member states to “contribute anonymised clinical data in order to inform the public health clinical response”.
Dr Catton said: “An antibody test will enable us to retrospectively test suspected patients so we can gather a more accurate picture of how widespread the virus is, and consequently, among other things, the true mortality rate.
“It will also assist in the assessment of effectiveness of trial vaccines.”
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